Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 227.067915 255.432160 286.808975 324.241453 367.875369 417.363356 478.066026
2025-04-06 183.014753 220.044687 264.556346 322.591103 397.127502 490.839927 619.505570
2025-04-13 152.812196 191.476320 240.445088 308.064088 400.695503 525.692728 711.643263
2025-04-20 140.617687 182.557890 238.139126 318.891282 436.160645 605.124573 876.470779
2025-04-27 132.086805 176.804834 238.449629 332.132571 475.535876 695.036235 1074.070135
2025-05-04 121.589169 166.832179 231.239165 332.837244 495.412891 757.537437 1240.060326
2025-05-11 110.436173 154.616832 219.192399 324.258861 498.787633 792.998778 1365.767244
2025-05-18 101.461080 144.663016 209.338857 317.602010 503.800152 831.156405 1503.736550
2025-05-25 97.393173 141.643656 209.648532 327.120192 537.177588 924.575504 1771.959319
2025-06-01 91.672616 135.519654 204.383414 326.510850 552.220452 985.980381 1988.475229
2025-06-08 85.572073 128.278260 196.611132 320.589306 556.431042 1026.513725 2168.363049
2025-06-15 81.434989 123.855311 193.060183 321.660892 573.907042 1096.812945 2438.090723
2025-06-22 76.186556 117.333215 185.601696 315.150646 576.242358 1136.870723 2648.279114
2025-06-29 72.214878 112.670634 180.981754 313.495899 588.349280 1201.236992 2945.888619
2025-07-06 66.691811 104.997443 170.475144 299.471356 572.529714 1198.106204 3050.833598
2025-07-13 65.317552 104.348641 172.407896 309.926320 610.981939 1332.624806 3619.206803
2025-07-20 64.330200 104.284797 175.361498 322.708611 656.602928 1495.599997 4352.885082
2025-07-27 61.796304 101.287005 172.609593 323.388739 674.269326 1589.069754 4889.660585
2025-08-03 58.338730 96.406310 165.938863 315.108349 669.296883 1619.137533 5203.748143
2025-08-10 55.368373 92.246441 160.368873 308.681517 668.062836 1659.952142 5581.788364
2025-08-17 54.410539 91.741829 161.854555 317.870480 707.581251 1831.062111 6605.008440
2025-08-24 52.427214 89.193284 159.110224 317.282280 721.652316 1927.345655 7351.194438
2025-08-31 50.037421 85.741947 154.324476 311.565725 721.229065 1977.078525 7903.278345